Determination of Farm Planning Using Game Theory in Conditions of Uncertainty in Sistan Region

Sargazi, A. R. (2011) Determination of Farm Planning Using Game Theory in Conditions of Uncertainty in Sistan Region. Masters thesis, University of Zabol.

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Abstract

Agricultural sector as one important sector in economy of Iran needs to be coherent in planning in order to develop and confront with the present crises. In the current study, game theory with multiple objectives under uncertainty was used in the framework of goal and Meta goal programming. Various farming strategies (cropping patterns) was determined according to Wald, Savage, Agrawal, Heady and Gross margin expectation criteria, under and without two levels of risk (z = and) in the quantity of available irrigation water in the interval of control parameter = [ , ], in the region of Sistan. The synthesis of Meta - goal programming and game theory, meta-goal programming game, and also incorporating chance constraint programming in the two models, goal and meta-goal were programming game, with the contributions of this research. The results in the two game models were about the same and wheat, barley, sorghum, melon and onion have the most area under cultivation. Total area under cultivation was different in the proposed strategies of the two models, at two levels of risk in irrigation water available and decreased by increasing risk in the quantity of irrigation water available. By considering the current cropping pattern in the region, the results of the goal programming game recommended as a base for optimizing cropping patterns in the region under study

Item Type: Thesis (Masters)
Uncontrolled Keywords: Game Theory, Meta-Goal Programming Game, Uncertainty, Sistan
Subjects: S Agriculture > S Agriculture (General)
Depositing User: admin admin1 admin2
Date Deposited: 05 Apr 2016 04:00
Last Modified: 05 Apr 2016 04:00
URI: http://eprints.uoz.ac.ir/id/eprint/203

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